Markets have been doing well and there are media reports that there can be some correction. Which is true? Fundamentally on a broader perspective there is not much change seen in the earnings of companies. Then, why did the market take off post budget? Foreign Portfolio Investors who moved out of our markets post China crisis have returned back. FPI’s have poured more than $1 Billion into our markets.
When such high amount of money comes in, it will move the whole markets and that is what has happened. Businesses that were fundamentally strong, though there were very few, began to
Following BREXIT, markets have taken off well due to FPI inflows. More than a billion dollars have been invested in our markets in the last one month, which has helped in markets giving a good growth.
Metals & Infrastructure sectors were leaders in returns as they are moving up from the bottom, while on the fundamental side, the companies in these sectors are yet to show strength.
BREXIT and saturation in the BFSI segment which was contributing to growth in the Technology sector has turned the sector into the weakest in the prevailing markets.
SENSEX gained above 4% in the month of July, in line with our performance which stood at 4.20% for the month of July.
Being exposed to the right sectors that have the potential to get the best growth in the prevailing markets gives us an edge in performance. Our systems have ensured that we are invested in the right sectors. Presently, we are overweight on Financials, Cement, infrastructure, Sugar& Paper. NBFC businesses have got into an advantage position against the traditional banks. NPA’s position of NBFC’s has been fairly low when compared to the PSU peers. They are also placed well in the rural markets where the next thrust on the business growth is expected to happen. Likely boost in the consumption pattern after the 7th pay commission is getting factored into the market.
Financial sector has above 12% exposure in our portfolio. Bajaj Finance & Bharath Financial has been consistent performers following their robust result announcements.
We have had increased exposure into the Basic Materials sector comprising Metals and Chemicals, the sector that was down in the last year. After a good base formation there are some green shoots visible in this sector. Exposure was reduced in the Technology sector following weak performance numbers from the businesses in this sector.
Merger of Oil Marketing Companies into a single company was good news which helped the leader of this sector HPCL have good gains.
Result season though not very good on the broad perspective, it has pretty well on specific stocks. Stocks like Bajaj Finance, Bharat Financial, etc., have given phenomenal gains following result announcement. Good monsoon and subsequent rural demand have been helping in companies that have good rural presence gain momentum in the markets.
GST becoming a reality soon is also helping service sector businesses to gain as they are the biggest beneficiaries of this move. Following no new stimulants that have uncertainty in them, which can drive the markets from here, we are having small corrections and this correction is required often the markets to move out of weaker holdings and add new stocks into a portfolio.