Stock Market Correction Dec 2018 | TOP 5 REASONS

Advantages of Low oil price and US Dollar, outpaced by farm loan waiver and interest rate hike by the US Fed. Supported by a likely reversal in oil prices and FII selling should take the market to October lows and make it attractive from there.

Farm Loan Waiver – GOOD or BAD

Impact of farm loan waiver on the economy & the banking system. Is it required to waive loans? Reasons why our farmers are dependent? Measures that can be a solution to the loan waiver challenge. Till the changes become reality farmers should have to be paid their due share of labor through loan waiver.

5 Myths & facts of Mutual funds

A mutual fund is a professionally managed investment fund that pools money from many investors to purchase securities. These investors may be retail or institutional in nature.

Here are some myths & facts about Mutual Funds which are useful, when investing in this asset class.

  1. Myth – Mutual Funds are meant for long term investors.

Fact – Mutual Funds can be a short term investment but, It is meant to be a long term asset, to receive  high returns. Mutual Fund when invested for period of 5 years may give a return of an average of 12 – 15%. ₹1 lakh invested for 5 years will be 1.75 lakhs in 5 years. At 15%, money will double in every 5 years.

  1. Myth – Funds will get locked and cannot be used.

Fact – There is no lock-in period for Mutual Fund Investments, apart from ELSS schemes which are done to save taxes. Even these schemes are one of the lowest lock-in available in the tax saving products universe. Other products like, PPF, Tax saving FD’s, ULIP’s etc are locked for more than 5 to 15 years.

All other mutual fund investments are available for redemption at time after the investment. Only that withdrawals made before 1 year from the date of investment will have 1% exit load and above 1 year, it is free to withdraw.

  1. Myth – Mutual Funds always give positive returns

Fact – Investments into mutual funds are market related and will go through the up’s and downs of the market. If invested for short durations, there is possibility of having negative returns on the other hand, if the investment horizon is more than 5 years chances of negative returns becomes zero.

  1. Myth – Mutual Funds is very risky

Fact – It becomes risk only when we do something without the knowledge of what we are doing and don’t know the outcome. In mutual funds, experienced fund managers manage the investments and they are well equipped with research teams to identify good investment opportunities.

  1. Myth – Big Funds will give big returns and small risk

Fact – Wealth creation is about time and not size. Just investing into a big fund will not give big returns, while staying with the fund for a longer period will for sure give big returns.

 

RBI & Government in a tussle

Resignation by the RBI governor Mr.Urjit Patel after being in office for a little more than 2 years was a big surprise that has come after market hours on 10thDecember. 11th being a big event day with 5 state assembly election results where we are having shaky grounds and the markets having already lost ground, in line with the global markets.

Now, this new development will take a big blow in the markets. Though all the dark cloud will clear in a day or two, didn’t expect this to happen. In the recent weeks there has been a continuous tussle between the finance ministry and the RBI on PCA, Liquidity and Reserves issues.

Slowdown in the economy which is forcing the government to resort to all possible ways to bring in growth. 11 out of 23 PSB’s not allowed to lend due to PCA. Liquidity not available in the markets due to curbing of NPA’s and reducing reserves of the RBI to fund governments deficit.

All of these are not good expectations. When we are fighting corruption and wanting to clean the economy, resorting to again funding without quality assessment will only result to further loss of capital. If the governor had resigned to ensure all of these claims do not happen, it is a good decision. At the same time a big blow to the government when elections are just a few months away.

We spoke about the market reaching the previous bottom in our recent video, didn’t expect it will go there in such a hurry. Probably these events and their outcomes might keep the markets down for some more time to come. Pain for portfolios likely to continue.