I had written an article on who is smart, the FII’s or the DII’s (http://184.108.40.206/mid-cap-stocks-are-stronger-than-their-large-cap-peers/) a couple of months back. I did not expect that so soon we will get back to square one. In one of the recent data on how the investments have been happening post China crisis, it was sad to note that again our retail investors have caught the tiger by its tail.
The public participation had helped the DII’s to have larger exposure into the Mid Cap space which was the performing segment in the current bull rally. FII’s got their fingers burnt with their large cap exposure. Now, the retail data that comes out shows a sad story. FII’s were smart again, they learnt from their mistakes, changed fast. While our retail investors are still in the same swirl.
To be successful in stock market investment one has to be invested in companies that are big growth stories, both fundamentally and technically. The list of stocks that the FII’s have bought as per September data shows that they have placed themselves perfectly in those companies that have strong price patterns. Whereas, our retail investors have made perfectly wrong decisions by buying into stocks like Amtek Auto and Aban Offshore. These are companies that the FII’s have discarded from their portfolio.
Why people have bought into these stocks?
When we experience something good, we invariably want to experience it again. While doing so we naturally get carried away and take the experience in face value. Same thing happens in stock investing, when we see the price of a stock at a particular price and decide to buy into the stock, while it keeps rising not giving us an opportunity to buy, then one day suddenly it corrects and drops to some extent from its high. For us, it is a cheap stock and we load it into our portfolio. Little do we realize that the stock price has fallen for a reason?
For example, AMTEK AUTO is down because it has defaulted on its debt, a very big 15000 Crore debt default is staring large at them, it is also brought sleepless nights to fund managers in JP Morgan who have large exposure in this company’s debt. Similarly Aban Offshore is down because of crude price drop, will it regain its glory, is not known for now. When such impulsive investments are made, it is obvious that these investments will either stay flat or drop further. And when it drops, we tend to add more to our holding in the thought of averaging our losses without realising that, when we add investments into an already losing investment, we immediately add to our losses.
Over a period our investment will end up in a loss and what we talk about our experience to the outside world is that the stock market is GAMBLING.
Some of the exits from the retail segment like KEI and DEEP Industries too are wrong, these are stocks that have good potential for growth.
Be invested into good stocks, your investments will naturally be profitable. If the investment crosses 5 years, you’re down side risk is absolutely zero. And the profits will be the highest.