Next big opportunity to invest in Stocks –

Next big opportunity to invest in Stocks –

Stock markets go through cycles with up & down phases on regular periods, those who are able to identify them early and take advantage end up getting the best returns from the markets. Like the cycles we have in commodity prices. Crude or steel goes up in price when there is demand and comes down when supply increases.

As there are cycles for the whole market, there are similar ones for sectors too. Like for example metals sector went through a down phase when there was huge supply from China and when China stopped production, demand took the prices up and now the metals index is up 200 plus percent from the bottom it hit in early 2016.

Identifying and investing into sectors when they are at the bottom and about to turn up gives immense opportunity to grow wealth. Such opportunities come up often and 2 such conditions are available at present.

One among them is the Pharma sector, it went through a tough time since mid 2015 due to USFDA
clearance issues which forced many companies lose access to lucrative markets and thereby report losses. Now the condition has changed, most of the manufacturers have now adopted to the required standards, generics market has brought good opportunities and after a bottom or base formation any small growth will show up big and that will bring added value to the stocks.

This valuation gap will get filled with prices of stocks going up. Pharma stocks have already began their upward journey many stocks like GLAXO, ASTRA Zeneca etc are on the upward spiral. It is good time to pick up investments into a good Pharma specific mutual fund to ride this rally, which should last for more than 2 years and give some very big gains. 

Another opportunity waiting to happen is in the PSU Banking sector. All of us know of the challenges that our PSU Banks have gone through in the recent past due to their bad loans. Cleaning their balance sheets brought immense decrease in valuations and big loss in their stock valuations.

Now the cleaning activity is almost coming to an end, in another quarter or two most of the balance sheets should get cleared of all their NPA’s and even if the banks do not show robust performance on their numbers, just their regular profit reporting will give a big strength to their balance sheets which will attract valuations.

Again a very good opportunity to make more than 100% gains in the next 2 years by investing into this sector. The best way to capitalize on the rally that this sector will have is to identify mutual fund schemes that have more exposure to PSB’s and invest in them. One other alternative will be to invest into PSU Banking ETF’s.

These are pure sector calls which will go through high volatility and requires timing to enter and exit.
Getting in late into the rally or overstaying will give results that are opposite to what one expects from the investment. Have lesser allocation so that your investment does not go through volatility as well as help capture the gains of the next big opportunities available in the market.

Your investment advisors should be of help in choosing the right schemes along with timing entries
& exits.

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Ramesh Sigamani

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